Some readers may recall one of my predictions for 2012 was the end of this column. It’s time for me to start explaining what that’s all about. Next month will mark 25 years of my doing some version of this column either in print or online. It’s not a record (I’m sure John Dvorak has that) but it is a milestone that I’ve been for some time determined to reach. But having achieved 25 years of continuous service, what then? Well there is no gold watch. In fact my transition is, if anything, forced by the declining economics of the web. Facebook has much the same problem.
Desktop computers are at or near their peak and with them the desk-centric World Wide Web. Mobile is on the rise, but mobile economics are different – leaner — than desktop economics. So every month I get more readers and less income. This has been happening now for at least two years, masked a bit by the so-called economic recovery, but the writing is on the wall for dinosaurs like me. We have to evolve or die.
You can see it at Facebook where subscriber growth is slowing, though in Facebook’s case that’s mainly market saturation. You can see it, too, in Facebook’s stagnant earnings (if one quarter can be called stagnant) but the trend both to mobile and to lower base ad revenue are clear. For Facebook (now I’m trying to think like Zuckerberg) this means their IPO was perfectly timed: any later and it would have been even worse.
There’s plenty that Facebook can do and even some that I can do to adapt to this new reality. Facebook, for example, can turn into more of a marketing tool, selling highlighting for commercial posts and maybe priority placement — a transition that will hurt credibility a bit but will also grow earnings by 10X over the next 2-3 years. Weep not for Facebook.
I could do a lot better job of marketing this rag and have, in fact, done some little things. We have Search Engine Optimization (SEO) now, thanks to Jennie Lambert, my web mistress, which might explain why the headlines aren’t as much fun to write or read as they used to be. But I’m basically unwilling to do much more that might compromise content. Link exchanges? Paid guest posts? Not for me.
Or, like Facebook, I could add gambling. Nah.
I could start selling my own ads and save the commission, but that only makes sense for a rag this small if there’s a single advertiser out there who wants to buy my entire ad inventory, hopefully forever. If someone is considering doing just that please let me know right now before I do anything rash.
To be perfectly candid, the value of this thing probably peaked about 12 months ago at around $1 million, so despite past flirtations with Mark Cuban and Om Malik I don’t expect any buy-out offers to come over the transom.
There are more things I could do to stretch out the inevitable as I am sure many commenters will shortly explain, but what’s key here is that any such herculean efforts wouldn’t change the endgame for this column.
And then there’s the fact that I am this week precisely 59-and-a-half years old, which has some relevance if you know about U.S. retirement regulations.
Rather than fade away I prefer to embrace the light and making minor business model tweaks isn’t embracing anything. But I can’t retire, either, because of those three sons ages ten, eight, and six, and their mother with her love of shoes.
So next month, on or near my 25th anniversary, I’ll announce a dramatic change in what I do. I’ll still be writing because that’s all I seem to be good for, frankly, having long ago given up my gigolo ambitions. But the nature of what I write will change as will the places where I write it. Cringely.com won’t disappear because it is too valuable as a brand and my 88 year-old Mom has to have some place she can check up on me, but it will become part of a much greater — and more exciting — whole.
Weep not for me, either.
Wishing you all the best. Great insights you have shared in the past, I hope we will get to enjoy crumbs of it as you move along!
From the back page of Infoworld to right here at Cringely.com, some of us have been reading your scribblings for almost as long as you’ve been writing. If the changes in store mean less of your writings for us to read, then I for one will shed at least a tear – not for you, for us.
Thank you.
As a fellow dinosaur and one who made several contributions to your InfoWorld columns, I could not agree more with Dave. Do what you have to do, just don’t stop.
I’ll also ‘fess up to the “back of Infoworld” thing.
Best wishes.
Ok, I’m waiting with bated breath to discover what you have in mind — and whether it might be something I could do, too.
@Dave — ah, yes, back when InfoWorld came only in dead-tree version and was actually worth reading… Except, of course, for the H1-b “qualifier” ads. I remember it well.
Good luck in your future endeavors. Good to see you will go out with class instead of turning into a cranky old curmudgeon like John C Dvorak.
You’re a pretty creative guy who dreams big so I expect there will be plenty of adventures awaiting you. I look forward to heari about them.
Congrats on the milestone, Bob! I’ve been along for the ride for at least half that length.
Best of luck to you and yours with whatever changes are made.
And I for one will NEVER give up my desktop computer.
Diversify and expand. Very little reason to close the site.
Actually, you’ve already done most of it:
Movies/books/consulting
but could also do
Cringely hats/hoodies/totes/USB’s.
Obviously you are moving to a more tablet/smartphone friendly format.
If you need help, I can, and most of the commentors can, help develop a Cringely App.
Yahoo might be hiring…. but careful, you might wind up being ceo…..
Merchandise is something we came very close to doing a couple years ago. It could work, too, if I had more capital and a greater appetite for risk. It seems to work for the Blogess…
I lost my prized Cringely Mug years ago. I’d happily pay an inordinate amount of money for a replacement. You are a brand, and one I’d happily wear emblazoned across a T-Shirt.
Bob, you should know this. No need for capital to sell merchandise. All you need to do is make some designs and put them on cafepress or zazzle.
@ $1M, I’d not dare weep for you.
That was then but it’s at least a real number as opposed to AOL buying the Hiuffington Post. Had AOL bought me on the same per-reader terms I would have gone for close to $20 million — total fantasy.
Understood. In spite of my biting wit, I’m with Dave. As a reader since the “large format” paper Infoworld days, “Feed me, Seymour! FEED ME!!”
Bob, as one who just turned 59, I believe I know exactly where you’re coming from. Good luck to you, I’ll keep reading as long as you keep writing.
Just don’t make it too difficult to find you (and your content). I have been reading you since the early 90s.
I do like the idea of merchandising… a Cringely bobble head 🙂
Gigolo…
You made me laugh out loud.
My wife laughed, too.
When I read that, the image of David Lee Roth singing “Just a Gigolo” got replaced by Bob’s head.
I couldn’t decide whether to laugh or cry.
“U.S. retirement regulations”
Sounds like a potential column goldmine for us in the above 50 and under 60 crowd if you’d care to write about it.
It’s very simple. At 59-and-a-half I can withdraw retirement funds without a tax penalty (other than payng income tax n the withdrawals of course — no 10 percent excess penalty). For me all it means is bringing some order to a pile of 401Ks, SEP-IRAs, and other accounts accumulated over the years. I probably don’t even need the milestone to do so but it’s a useful catalyst for getting my affairs in better order.
I prefer to think about the 70 milestone. That’s when you can maximize your monthy social security benefits.
Yeah. Who can’t wait for that extra $20 a month?
It looks pretty good when your investments generate negative income.
you can reorder a scattered pile almost any time, no penalty. identify the outfit you want the money to end up in for your account. close the others, and have them issue the checks “FBO Your Name” to that operation. ask your adviser for the details, it’s a straight rollover with the money never actually touching your hands. thus, no penalty.
Ahhh yes… I remember the days when I looked forward to Mondays because I’d get to read PCWeek and Infoworld. That was back when Comdex was still interesting to attend.
Good luck in whatever you do and I hope you’ll bring us along for the ride.
Cringley is dead! Long live Cringley!
Bob, you’ll have an audience as long as you want one. Thanks for all you’ve done … and all you’ll continue to do.
Fudge. Please forgive my misspelling your last name. After all these years, I should know better.
This column seems an appropriate place to say ‘Thanks’…
Always look forward to reading your work…Congrats and best of luck…
Perhaps you should have had ads on your RSS feed. I’ve been getting your content for free for years now. (Sorry.)
I could do that, true, but it would just delay the inevitable. Better to take a whole new approach…
I’ve enjoyed reading your column for over a decade. A fine time to say thank you for the insights and predictions, some of which end up even being right. Well done, sir!
I’ve really enjoyed reading you since the mid-90s. I’ve literally grown up reading your work. I think you have the most thought-provoking stuff out there. I hope to keep reading you for a long time to come.
But you’ve also earned the right to ride off into the sunset. Whichever way you go, I’m very happy for you and greatful for all that you’ve given the tech community. Best wishes.
Whatever your new forum, bring back Pammy from InfoWorld days. Made for great columns. I ‘m sure your wife would understand.
My wife IS Pammy. Really.
That’s crazy. Funny, ‘cuz it’s true, crazy. Good for you guys!
Only 25 years? Feels a lot longer! I’ve read just about every one of your columns.
I’m rooting for a subscription model. The guys at Linux Weekly News and Webmaster World seem to have made a go of it – content worth paying for, I subscribe to both.
Good guess but not correct.
Dang. That’s what I was hoping for too. You could’ve counted me in.
The world has plotted against you to keep you from monetizing yourself – life isn’t fair. Now don’t you wish you’d completed the startup tour, moon shot, and all those other moneymakers.
I haven’t abandoned any of those.
I’m sure Mrs. C won’t like the reference, but I well remember the “Pammy” chronicles Cringe did at InfoWorld. Really good writing, and has been ever since.
I loved Pammy! Was that the real Cringely or that fake replacement?
That was me and Pammy is my wife. Eventually I knocked her up and she made an honest man of me.
That’s the most information you’ve ever revealed about your personal life!
Anyway, thanks for the years of columns and pushing me to buy Apple stock in 2000. I just wished you’d stopped me from selling it in 2001.
I’ll always remember you for being right about Apple, half-right about Burst,com, and am looking forward to seeing if you’re ultimately right about Google.
Whatever’s next, I’m in!
>That’s the most information you’ve ever revealed about your personal life!
Well, that and the naked Christmas cards.
Thanks.
Do not stop.
I like the gambling idea. Gambling on the outcome of your predictions. I’d pay a dollar per prediction.
I think that’s illegal, though my Grandma Pearl WAS a Cherokee…
My Brother! Eastern or Western tribe?
Arkansas Cherokee, born in Possumtrot, AR in 1905.
Born in OK from a line that goes back to the Eastern Tribe out of Tenn (by way of several northern states). You know, those who hid in the woods to avoid getting scooped up in the Trail of Tears.
Seems everyone migrates from the center of the country to the opportunities.
Wher you go I shall follow! I discovered you way back when you were the REAL Robert X & got my department to subscribe just so that I could get you articles.
A couple years later our Library department insisted that they manage ALL subscriptions and I got to read your article sporadically about once every 6 month and usually 6 months behind…
Then I found your website/blog and haven’t looked back.
I’m retired now, but I still read any new article you write, and will continue to do so wherever you go, whatever the cost,
You are an IT Guys ( retired or not) treasure – thank you for all the great stories so far!
The sustainability is NOT in the platform, per se, but in the community.
What our dear old Bob might be doing is setting up an online haven — in a paid environment — where he (and many others of like creativity) can share ideas and musings about the future of technology.
It would allow for a far more expansive mission statement than a simple website/blog currently allows. The SEO game punishes sites with wide-ranging subject matter. Narrow and keyword-dense is what builds the audience. In a paid community, Cringe can kick around Lunar X ideas and thoughts about data centers and Moore’s Law and whatever else floats his boat. (And pictures of his family on said boat, sans clothing — because we know that those same pictures on Facebook didn’t net him a dime.)
Then — if he needs to move to the Next Big Thing, he can port the Community he has labored so long to build.
Developers could pay $50 month for the first look at trends, as well as the ability to poll the userbase of early-adopters. Regular members might pay $10/month, and get access to the real heart. The discussions.
It’s old-school, it’s retro, and it just might work.
Nope, that’s not it, either.
Who made this XOR?
I’ve been reading you for most of my career, and I’ve always enjoyed and appreciated your insights, so when I saw your prediction that your column would end this year, I was quite disappointed. Now I’m looking forward to seeing what you do next.
I have never felt the need to spend the money on a smart-phone with a data plan. The tone of this column sounds like I might have to rethink that position.
Thank you for your work that I’ve read over the last 8 – 10 years. I really wish I would have found out about you sooner!
Ha! You are an old man. I won’t turn 59 till December. I’ve been reading since the original info world days. That’s gotta be close to 25 years.
But you can’t go anywhere. You’ve got to at least stick around to gloat on the eventual fall of IBM.
Thanks for what you do.
Yeah, I’m going to miss this format. Whatever you do, just make damn sure you can keep being you.
Selfishly I’m very disappointed . I can only hope that this means an upcoming alternative format for me to gain knowledge from your insight. (After all it is ME that I’m most interested in.)
I subscribed to many others and read just a few. The delete key routinely found many but not yours.
Among other things, I found inspirations of a father. (I”m 53 and have sons 26 yrs, 24 yrs, and 22 mos).
I’ll be anxiously awaiting the news of your future endeavors. Thank you for what I have learned from you in the past and what I plan to learn in the future.
Best wishes. We need you.
Sad to hear Bob, this is one of my few must goto’s on the internet.
Also.. best use of “transom” since Spinal Tap !
Yes, 25 years is about right. That’s when I sat at Bob’s feet at Infoworld and he taught me everything I know about journalism in a one hour crash course. Then he went off, wrote a book about Bill Gates and became famous while I … Got his old job. Here we are a zillion years later, still writing (for that’s what writers do), still figuring out how to get paid well (for that’s what writers have to do), still articulating why the world is how it is. Bob, thanks for all your good words, inspiration, and advice about inverted pyramids. May the revenue from your new venture grow with compound interest as we continue to accrue value from your insight. P.S. any stock tips are welcome!
As I recall you wer a quick study, Dave.
I am a regular reader of the column since 15years or so. From where I am located (small country inside the Europe part of the globe) it gave me an insight in the happenings in the computer (and some others) industry in the USA. I recently changed my carreer from employed to self-employed. Currently further developing some ideas, interesting to see what you will come up with. One remark on the US retirement I am reaching 61 in a few months (slightly ahead there), tax measures will not be applicable here until I reach 65…
Whatever you decide, good luck. Has been a pleasure following your writings and videos.
Here’s my guess. Cringely is going to become an article consultant. I have no idea what that means, but I’m also not the target audience.
I’m not sure I see revenue in that. People seem to be relying on me more and more to return to my first-ever journalism job — writing obituaries and, lately, eulogies. There’s no revenue in those, either.
“Facebook, for example, can turn into more of a marketing tool, selling highlighting for commercial posts and maybe priority placement — a transition that will hurt credibility a bit but will also grow earnings by 10X over the next 2-3 years. Weep not for Facebook.”
If they have to stoop to such depths, would that not be a good reason to weep for them (and their users)?
Ditto/+1 all the good stuff and personal best wishes. In the broader picture, I hope what all your analysis portends is a breakdown and then dissolution of the ad-based “free” media model in favor of paid subscriptions. And whatever happened to the micro-payment model that was going to enable affordable “click to read” transactions of pennies vs. dollars?
In Douglas Rushkoff’s terrific 2004 documentary “The Persuaders” he repeats the inside-advertising aphorism that “I know I’m wasting half my ad budget; I just don’t know which half.”
I think it’s possible that what mobile is enabling, and what Facebook is staring in the, well, face, is the acceleration of wasted ad budgets.
Bob, in your case, I hope you’re well ahead of whatever curve/wave is about to break with ad-supported models. Check that … I hope you’re ahead of the curve just enough to profit by your prescience, but not so far ahead that you don’t.
Here’s what I’d like to see …. a 21st-century Virtual Media Conglomerate subscription service modeled on pieces of PBS, HBO, and cable packages that would allow me to subscribe to bundled, or a la carte, web content to include Cringely.com and other independent content providers with limited or no ads.
I think an a la carte media world is coming, though maybe not soon enough for me. It began with Apple destroying the LP and getting us all to buy singles. It will eventually happen to TV shows and even blogs like this one, but the scales are all akimbo and early greed will mess it up for awhile. This rag, for example, had 2.2 million readers in April. I’d be thrilled to reliably get half a penny from each, but the micropayment system to enable that really doesn’t exist. Maybe a PayPal-based system at $1 per year? But there’s a large contingent of habitual readers who are opposed to paying for anything to the extent that they’ll even undermine the system by reposting for free. It’s discouraging. But eventually someone will crack it.
Can someone explain how the economics are different whether I read this column on a desktop vs. laptop vs. tablet?
If you need to draw in more eyeballs, then produce some shows for PBS again…that’s how I discovered these writings.
Ad rates are lower (usually about two-thirds lower) for mobile and the mobile editions usually have space for just one ad instead of three. Do the math. It’s a dramatic revenue drop. I think the ad-supported business model for blogs is doomed except for niche audiences whee insane CPM rates are possible. That’s not me.
OK, that makes sense. What if you hooked up with Leo Leport, do something like what Steve Gibson does? Or offered an “inner circle” option for a fee. We have an idea or question and could bounce it off you?
BTW: I plan to have my kids join the Coast Guard for their college tuition.
Either of those would be a product I’d buy!
Hi Bob,
I’ve been reading every column since ~1997 when Accidental empires first aired in the UK and I tracked you down on you internet home at the time (PBS).
I run Firefox with AdBlock Plus and have done for longer than I care to remember. I always ignored Internet ads anyway as they always seemed to claim my computer has a virus, or I can make $$$ working at home, or I’ve just won a prize and click to claim; and from what I’ve seen on occasions when I have to use IE or Safari not much has changed. Sometimes they attempt to be creepily relevant, but still miss the mark. I installed ABP when ads started using Flash, became super massive on the page, or started kicking off video clips with sound – Obtrusive to the point of absolute frustration. The point is I never clicked on Internet ads anyway even before I installed ABP.
Anyway, I’m not a free loader and don’t expect your esteemed writing content free, but enabling ABP to allow ads on your page probably misses the point somewhat if I’d still not click on them. I’d be happy to contribute directly to you if you included a PayPal Donate (or other payment system) button. I can continue blocking ads with perhaps a little less guilt, and you make more in one go than you’d ever get from serving ads to me.
How about it? You could probably do this in addition to your forthcoming plans. while I don’t weep for the likes of Facebook, I’d be prepared to do this for other smaller ad supported sites too.
Just my $0.02 worth
P
There’s an irony here. I long ago (in my PBS days) figured out that the most reliable revenue model was begging (I called it a tip jar). I wrote a column to that effect and a week later, in response to that column, PayPal introduced PayPal Donate. I know the genesis only because they wrote me at the time to tell me. So yes, that’s a possible revenue model and I even helped invent it!
It was probably your column in the back of my mind, in that case. “Tip Cup” was my thought, so likely the name you used but mutated in my memory by time. Hopefully you will consider putting in a Donate option; when it comes to college/university it all helps. I wouldn’t call it begging, it’s more like busking because you’re doing something useful to earn contributions to that Tip Jar.
I’m not about to unblock ads (and even if I did I wouldn’t click on them) but it rests uneasy not contributing to sites I find useful/interesting/entertaining (of which yours is probably all three). I’m not sure how many are in the same boat as me, but from what I’ve seen I can’t be the only one who hates ads, but doesn’t want to be a freeloader too.
There are other websites I wish would include a donate option, but they are usually only interested in selling me a subscription…
Having just re-viewed season two of “Treme” on HBOGO, Paul’s busking analogy is apt, indeed. Instead of an open fiddle case or a jar on a piano (homage Billy Joel), put up a virtual … a virtual … how ’bout an image of an original Macintosh zippered cover turned upside down to collect coin?
As for the twerps who take and repost or otherwise abuse copyrighted material, it seems to me the eventual redress has to be technical and social rather than legal.
I think Jerry Pournelle was writing a computer column when CPM was still shiny, so he might be in contention with Dvorak. Good luck with your new venture.
I wish Charlie Rose would retire and be replaced with a round table panel consisting of Pournelle, Dvorak, and Cringely.
Talk about a frothing madness to constrain.
I like it!
It looks like you’ll be joining an online publication like The Verge, for instance, or maybe the New York Times? Whatever you do, wherever you go, wishing you all the best, just keep those columns coming.
I think you’re the only one not to get shot down…?
Besides the ads there aren’t really that many good options left for bloggers to make money:
– blog as a columnist for an online publication (and get a steady income or pay per column),
– get payment for sponsored (product/service) posts,
– try some form of subscription (e.g. membership payment to read most current columns, archives free for general public).
Of course, there is also the option of using the current high-readership free blog as an easy source for a members only site with different, presumably more valuable content.
Finally, there is always the option to have some exclusive content available via a paid podcast only.
Given a 300k steady readership, if only just 1% buy the paid content either at 99c apiece or 99c/month, you still get a decent $3,000/month. Sure, that is not a lot these days, but it can be a nice supplement to a paid column under a large publication’s banner.
“But the nature of what I write will change as will the places where I write it.”
Ok after all these years let’s make an uneducated guess, “nature” could mean not tech(don’t think so), smaller bits (would require no thought just speed, so no), leaves longer format with payment not based on ads.
How about “micro” books on amazon, where the payment and distribution is “shared” with amazon(for example)? But how can we give you a hard time and you can put us in our place?
Don’t know the economics about it, so one more time tell me how wrong I am.
If you end up on Facebook exclusively, It would be bad idea. Additionally, I will not reading you any more, since I effing HATE Facebook, and refuse to have an account.
I never even considered doing that.
I’m part of your readership that reads this regularly on an old-fashioned desktop, and I just about never visit your site; kinda like mobile. How? Google Reader. It was never my intention to hold down your hit count and deprive you of revenue, it’s just easier. Except for the fact that you mention it once in a great while, I’m barely aware of the website’s existence at all.
Going forward, maybe I’ll change my ways.
Wherever Cringely goes, I rest assured he’s not going to shill for M&A weasels writing stuff like “Intel should buy RIM” or “Microsoft should buy Nokia.”
like our pal John has done.
an honest scribe, will continue to follow you whichever direction.
I mean no offense by this, but it is wrong to conclude that you are hanging it up because there’s not enough profit in it? In other words you are changing gears in order to make more money?
There’s a lot of bloggers out there who aren’t much different than me—non-professional writers/journalists, but still like to write stuff on the web for fun. If they make a few bucks from ads, great, but a lot don’t even care. I suppose that situation is somewhat off-putting to a professional journalist, who gets lumped in with (and cheapened by) all the amateurs.
That, combined with my *speculation* that you are already quite wealthy, made me assume you too did this blog for the joy of writing, and profits were a secondary concern.
Anyway, IIRC, around the time you moved your column from PBS to cringely.com, you didn’t even want it to be called a “blog”. Perhaps that has something to do with my first point, that, generally speaking, the “blog brand” is a cheap one.
OK, so I’ll use what I said above to play the guessing game for what comes next. 🙂 I’m thinking of some kind of hybridization of apps and journalistic content, suitable for the mobile landscape, and probably with at least a “dotted-line” connection to social media. Maybe you’ll create kind of an app/sophisticated web “experience” that smells a lot like a cable TV channel: all of Cringely’s various interests and projects are “threads”, and are updated as-they-happen. Each thread includes a mix of writing (by Cringely and other related parties), along with videos and maybe even games, all linked by the thread’s topic. Each thread would be similar to reality TV in that it’s more or less created on-the-fly, and the story is told through a lot of different perspectives (in Cringely’s case, different media, e.g. writing, video, music, etc). But different than reality TV in that there’s some actual journalistic value to it all. 🙂 Money would come from one, or a combination of, the usual suspects: paid subscription (e.g. tiered memberships), advertisements, non-free apps, etc.
I think that guess is vague and open-ended enough that it’s got to be at least partially right. 🙂
Anyway, I concur, second and “+1” all the compliments left before me in the comments. I started reading your column about 10 years ago, roughly the same time I started my career after college. What I feel has set you apart is that you generally seem to have more insight into your topics. It seems most tech journalists only scratch the surface, and/or are afraid (or the lack the creativity) to offer a unique spin on the issues.
I’m not as rich as you think and certainly have never been rich enough to do this for fun. And after 45 years and maybe two million words I’m not sure it would be fun.
If I had regular paycheck, which I haven’t had since 1994, this would be a great part-time job, just as you suggest. I love the freedom to wrote as I please, though if you remember my InfoWorld days I wasn’t held back much over there, either.
The issue is really my three sons, all of whom will eventually be in college and expecting me to pay for it. That’s a huge burden that will come along when I am in my 70s — not the best time. So I have go plan now for then.
Oh, your ideas are far smarter than my ideas, but that’s not it.
Thanks, Bob, for all the wit, wisdom and out of the box thinking over the years.
My guess on your future business model:
A combination of various publications in various channels…
1) Weekly short form & frequent posts through a (free or <$1.99/yr) mobile app that is ad supported; possibly in conjunction with other like-minded and well regarded tech journalists. I keep the app on my home page and look for the update tag / push notification when new articles are posted. This could include text, video, or mixed format postings.
2) Long form (magazine story length) articles in mainstream online publications with large audiences (C/Net, Wired, etc.). Builds awareness and extra exposure for the mobile app.
3) Once every 3 years self published e-books on various topics: e.g. Steve Jobs/Apple, the future of mobile tech & technology giants, the future of societal tech (e.g. flying cars, etc.) $9.99 each, supported / promoted by speaking tours scheduled at bookstores and on cable tv shows.
4) Non-public paid technology consulting business. Bob advises startups in technology & new media. Gets paid via shares of company stock, or board of directors fees.
I'd put video publications / TV shows here as #5, but frankly I'm disappointed at the lack of publication of the Nerd TV, Startup Tour, etc. activities over the years. We'd all LOVE to see this happen. It must be very difficult to get good distribution that also makes money for you. It worked (and relatively quickly) for the Steve Jobs Lost Interview. Not so much for your other projects (yet).
Good luck building out Cringely 2.0 (or are you up to 9.0?)!!! We all look forward to what comes next!
I’ve been waiting for some time now for the thinking on ad revenue to correct. Seems like people are trying to figure out why the internet as a platform for advertising is broken rather than accepting that the advertising model has about as much foundation as the derivatives market (i.e., the presumption of value, so long as no one wants to actually trade anything for cash).
Focus groups, market research, Nielsen ratings…Screw it all. Do what you love on your terms.
How about micro-payments? I’m down with that if it is easy to throw a buck or two at you when I visit the site.
Derivatives have value insofar as people buy and sell them. Their true value ultimately depends on the value of the underlying item, like a company or a piece of real estate. The problem and risk is that the value of the underlying item is unknown yet we some how realize it must have some value to someone, like the value of your house. Derivatives look bad while the underlying values are changing, but they are merely amplifying the inherent risk or reward.
i’ve enjoyed your writings – your videos – your individual look on the tech world.
you have the email subscription to your site – how have you a newsletter that i can subscribe to?
Good luck and thanks, Bob.
Like so many others here I began the computer phase of my technology career reading InoWorld from back cover to front cover – the best stuff was in the back.
There are really only a few “real, tell it like it is” journalists around today, and that includes you, Dvorak, Laporte, and probably Om Malik. I believe you have the cachet to put together a tech news site that could eclipse anything out there. Whatever it is, I will look forward to your perspective.
I was just telling my wife the other day that I thought your articles looked a lot more SEO’d lately, Bob. To your credit, I don’t think it hurts the experience of reading them at all.
Sometimes I see articles on this website that are begging for additional monetization. though. Take your recent announcement about “The Lost Interview” being available for pre-order on Amazon — there isn’t a link to the product, let alone an affiliate link. By my calculations, you’d earn 97 cents for each sale of that DVD made through an Amazon affiliate link, up to a maximum of $2.06 per DVD with higher sales volume — and that’s in addition to whatever royalty you’re already earning. Since it’s your product I don’t see how it would be a breach of ethics if you used an affiliate link when mentioning it. Every other tech blog uses an affiliate link every time they mention a product.
That’s just one small example, and maybe you decided the potential revenue wasn’t worth the effort, but with 2.2 million monthly readers it seems like an occasional affiliate link here and there would be worthwhile.
In any case, I hate change but I’m ecstatic to know you’ll still be writing in the future. I’m looking forward to seeing the new Cringely!
OMG I am getting old
25 yrs, I remember reading those back page posts and stories about Pammy early in my career
Its the 35th anniversary of TRS-80, used to learn basic on that at a friends place after school
We don’t have a gold watch for you, however I would like to award you the honorary Koala animal stamp.
NASA has put a new toy on Mars, which reminds me, anything happening with that moon project of yours.
Please keep writing in some form, as we couldn’t do without your unique take on technology.
Thanks for all the great stuff over the years and looking forward to what you do next
Craig
[…] Cringely writes a fun tech and business blog. But he may not for much longer. Why? Well, you can read his post for the full explanation. The long and short of it is that he thinks the glory days of blogging for […]
What?!? No gold watch?!? How ’bout a “Thanks for the memories, Bob & Pammy” iPod? Just send me your address! 😀
Thinking about it, now that I know that you *are* the “Pammy & I” Cringely, I’ve been reading you for twenty years. I started reading you with Info World at back in ’91. I still fondly remember the article about IBM’s (now infamous?) “do not open” upgrade.*
Well, if it’s not selling your Christmas cards at $19.95 a piece, then I don’t know what you’ve got planned. Looking forward to hearing about it though.
* When upgrading the CPU on their PC to a “shiny new 486SX”, IBM sent you a small package with the CPU in it. Clearly written on the box were the words “do not open”.
Folks pay for nostalgia and celebrity. A computer celebrity calendar for $15/yr would be cool. Cringely on at least one of the pages, and maybe a couple other tech writer oldies… Dvorak, Pournelle, etc. Woz with something he invented and treasures. No CEOs. Perhaps some language guys like Bjarne Stroustrup, etc.
And you can only get the calendar by a $15 subscription to cringely.com. Who wouldn’t pay for that?
Maybe you can finally do the next segment of NerdTV?
[…] Facebook, Cringely, and the devolution of the web ~ I, Cringely – keep an eye on what Bob does […]
Hi Bob,
I have read all your writings for the last 10 years, since I first stumbled upon them.
I really highly value your insights and have tried to learn your creative way of turning the perspective on the subjects you write about. It is enriching, often revealing unexpected conclusions and at times adds humor too.
I live in a small european country, where 2 million readers is more than third of the population, making it big for anyone getting that much attention. You would be famous here, getting your own reality TV show and plenty of attention in gossip magasines.
I realize that you swim in a much larger pond, and your splashes there might not be as noticable.
I often think of your articles as a combination of inspiration and consulting, it absolutely provides value to me, but I never paid anything in return. However, if you plan to sell you thoughts and ideas on some sort of subscription in the future, I will definetly be a subscriber.
And I would be thrilled if the format could be something like a mobile app. Easy payments, easy access, available everywhere.
Perhaps you should start writing that biography too?
Having lived (even been alive) through these times and been closer to the important tech events than most of us, I imagine it could be interesting reading.
I never heard much of your private life either, but I am curious. It seems your whole family is involved in your endavours, and also have some influence on the choices you make in life.
Whatever your plan is, I look forward to your next output, everyday.
I’ve been giving “the value of blogging” a lot of thought. After all, it takes a lot of time and discipline to write and research blogs on a regular basis. What’s the point?
My conclusion is that the model for artists has changed forever and online content delivery is really not meant to be a “money maker” anymore, it’s evolved into a marketing device. It’s the free sample of stir fried chicken at the food court in the Mall. As such, it’s changed from profit center, to a cost center.
Musicians and writers are both going through the same experience. Whereas musicians once made most of their money selling albums (selling content) via hard media and later, downloads, now it seems at least new, upcoming musicians do better promoting themselves by giving away downloads in order to sell out live venues on multiple nights.
Similarly editorial writers, seem to do better promoting themselves via free online content, and cashing out via speaking engagements, endorsements, personal appearances, or by any other means that “famous” people make money.
MMmmm.
Planning for 3 children to go to school in the near future.
Your age.
Your schedule.
The desire to be there for your kids and involved as much as possible in their lives.
Planning for 3 children to get the best education you can afford.
I wonder what platform allows you to take advantage of a solid built-in fanbase and generate recurring revenue. Because it has to be recurring revenue.
Is it time for Bob Cringely to write a .99 ebook?
Have you been talking to Konrath?
All the Best, Mr. Cringley!
Why stop the gigolo gig? Keep it up as they say.
Hi Bob,
Good luck in whatever you do , I wish you the best and hope we can follow along somehow.
I’m a semi-retired Mechanical Engineering type who got his hands on a computer back in 1970, and quickly learned that this is way over my head. As the years spun past, I drifted to Construction Management, so now I’m basically a carpenter with a slide rule. I managed to tag along with “Tech” through your writings and shows from the get go and it’s been a lot of fun. I’ve try all the tips and crashed my computer so many times, until I realized I needed glasses. Thanks for it all, it’s been a blast.
Monty
You can run but you can’t hide . . .
Be seeing you.
Thank you for what you have done and what you will do. It has meaning and is important. In my experience, dinosaurs get paid the most because the newbies don’t understand why the original code, written for a mainframe, doesn’t conform to their beliefs.Dinosaurs united.
As a 40+ year IT vet who started reading you in (as a previous poster called it) the Dead Tree version of InfoWorld, I want to thank you for all you’ve given me.
Even when you have been wrong, or just when I disagreed with you (not always the same thing), you made me consider my position and generally think about things.
When you converted to blogging I was initially against the change, but I find the comments generally literate and thoughtful. Worth reading, in other words.
And as a pilot since the FAA stood for the Federal Administration =Agency= (and they really were out to help you) I appreciate your occasional forays outside IT.
So good luck in what you do next. And a selfish vote that it involves publicly available news and opinion. I suspect that at this point, you couldn’t avoid making it so.
I don’t remember the first time I read your column. Maybe it was in the early 1990s, maybe in the mid 1990s – but it was a grand and great discovery.
I found out about Google before anyone else when you first wrote about it. I told it to someone I worked with, and thought I had gone off the deep end.
You are how I learn about, and keep up with technology. Your thinking out side the box about the industry, and the effect of collateral events, helps reinforce the lesson and spawn creativity on my own thinking.
You said last winter that if you hung up your key board, you would recommend some other new technology pundits. Without them, I will be overwhelmed.
Kindest regards, and thank you.
I remember the column you wrote about the end of this site.. You said you’re going to build a wooden boat.. What kind?
Good luck out there, wherever that might turn out to be.
In the “old days” when the printed Infoworld came around the office routing chain, you column was the first thing I read. I’m afraid I drifted away when you went to the internet, but I still come back now and then to see what I’ve missed. Usually that ends up chewing up the entire day.
Regarding that permanent sponsorship thing… have you asked IBM?
I have a belief in Fate — Greek Fate.
Zuckerberg paid off the twins some millions to get billions. That’s their fate.
Zuckerberg will be a rich nobody some years in the future.
Robert X (what does X mean) was fated to be Mercury — the messenger!
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