Here is something similar for the media –

http://sports.yahoo.com/olympics/beijing/blog/fourth_place_medal/post/The-great-Atlantic-Ocean-swimming-hoax?urn=oly,140525

This goes beyond the banks and beyond salesmen. People just don’t check stuff anymore. Part of the reason is that the penalty for being wrong is minimal.

Cringely! I like your column but this is self aggrandizing toss. The people that created this mess, quite to the contrary, are some of the best mathematicians that our (or, more precisely, the French) educational system has to offer. The real problem actually started in Scotland a couple hundred years ago when people came up with the bright idea that human behaviour can actually be quantified statistically – apparently, this idea has some minor flaws. The people on Wall Street are not stupid – arrogant maybe – but not stupid. Anyone on Wall Street smart enough to figure this chart out is so busy right now that they barely have time to sleep, much less to take time to comment on some silly chart created by a knuckle dragger.

Funny? No. Scary!

I can only echo Cringely’s comments. In my world as well, incompetence is rampant!

I teach college courses that use Math skills. This type of mistake doesn’t surprise me at all. Today’s students have no understanding of the magnitude between numbers. I get answers to problems that are a factor of 1,000 away from the correct answer and they don’t realize their answer is not in the ballpark.

This reminds me the of the chatter regarding car fuel efficiency a few months ago. It was along the lines of; which is better for the environment, improving the mileage of a car from 30mpg to 37mpg or from 15mpg to 20mpg? The intuitive answer would be the former, mathematically it’s the later. In the first instance you would be burning about 19% less fuel, in the later it would be 25% less.

This has been discussed elsewhere before …

In English:

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/01/21/51493/bank-picture-du-jour-redux/

In German:

http://egghat.blogspot.com/2009/01/groe-blasen-kleine-blasen.html

I doubt this was a mistake. What I use for bubble charts (Excel) actually makes the conversion to compares area and not diameter. To replicate this chart in Excel I had reverse engineer the numbers and calculate new diameters to trick the program in providing the misleading visual comparison. Shock and awe short selling, or the analyst is puffing up his career. This was deliberate.

i.a.guy: No, the intuitive answer is correct. Remember, the question was which is better for the environment, not which is the greater increase in efficiency. The environment benefits more by a vehicle going 7 miles farther on a gallon of gas compared to 5 miles per gallon.

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